Logical Framework Analysis
Predictive Analytics
Market Sensitivity
E-Commerce
Logical Reasoning
Education
Creativity and Innovation
Decentralized Idea
Project Management
Website Building
Social Media Marketing
Smart Contract
NFT Developing
Adventure
Blockchain
Funding
Financial Analysis
Wilderness Survival Skills
Search Engine Optimization (SEO)
Product Selection
1.Education Relative Program Entrepreneur
Tommy Xiao, with a knack for spotting niche opportunities, worked in education from March 2011 to August 2013. He identified the potential of U.S. Work & Travel and Internship programs for Chinese students early on. Despite not being a pioneer and still studying, he predicted the high demand in China, foreseeing sizable profits for early entrants. Post-graduation, he successfully capitalized on the industry's late-stage growth by launching his own ventures.
2.Amazon Seller
He has a strong focus on developing niche markets. During his time as a seller on Amazon US, his Sky Lanterns product became the top one seller and was awarded the Amazon Choice label. In addition, other niche products, including his Taichi Series clothing line and Buddha Statue Water Fountain collection, also earned the Amazon Choice distinction.
3.Funding Broker
He successfully persuaded a major Chinese state-owned enterprise to raise RMB 500 million through a financial leasing arrangement and connected it with appropriate financial leasing lenders in the market.
4.Cryptocurrencies Investor and Trader
(1) His Logical Reasoning Method for Market Prediction.
His analysis indicates that when two investment targets, A and B, share similar attributes but operate in different markets or directions, negative developments or extreme growth in A can lead to a shift in investment towards B. The closer the alignment of attributes between A and B, the more substantial the investment transition will be. Furthermore, if A and B are aligned in opposing directions—such as one targeting the east and the other the west—this divergence can further amplify the movement of investments from A to B.
(2) Application of Logical Reasoning in Predicting
Dogecoin Trends in Jan,2021
Investment target A: GameStop Stock
Investment target B: Dogecoin
·A and B have the same attributes:
-Support from Elon Musk
Both A and B have benefited from the direct or indirect support of Elon Musk.
-Grassroots Culture:
Grassroots culture refers to movements or initiatives that originate from the bottom-up, driven by individuals or communities at a local level, rather than being orchestrated by centralized authorities or institutions.
·A and B have Distinct Markets
Target A operates within the traditional gaming industry, while Target B thrives in the meme-driven cryptocurrency sector.
·Derivation Process:
He anticipated that Dogecoin would be the next target for several reasons:
- Both A and B share two highly correlated attributes: grassroots culture and Musk's backing.
- Speculative targets tend to gravitate toward more free-market environments to avoid regulatory scrutiny, making the cryptocurrency sector an ideal choice.
- The enthusiasm for speculation remains strong, indicating that a new target will emerge quickly.
·Outcome:
GameStop's stock raised from $17.20 on Jan/04, 2021,to $380 by January/ 29, 2021.Following this, Dogecoin raised from $0.00725 on Jan/26, 2021, to $0.08536 by February/07, 2021,11 times.
(3) Predicting cryptocurrency market cycles
By analyzing key market factors, he was able to identify both the highs and lows of the crypto cycle. This enabled me to exit at the top of the 2021 bull market and re-enter at the bottom of the 2022 bear market. However, he failed in March 2023
In March 2021, when Bitcoin rose past $60,000, he chose to liquidate his cryptocurrency holdings as soon as the price dropped below that threshold, despite missing its peak of $64,854 in April and $69,000 in November.
In November 2022, when Bitcoin fell below $18,000 amidst widespread negative news, he anticipated that a market bottom was near. He made strategic purchases when Bitcoin hit around $17,000, though it dropped further to $15,000. Nonetheless, his decision to buy near the bottom of the cycle was sound in the context of the broader market trend.
Drawing from data analysis and a personal intuition, he initiated a long position in Bitcoin futures and spot leverage at the price around $17,300 on January 10, 2023. Just one day later, on January 11, 2023, Bitcoin surged from $17,000 to $25,000. He predicted that Bitcoin would surpass $50,000 within the next year.
Subsequent trends have validated my mid-term and long-term prediction.
5.Blockchain NFTs Finance Game Founder
In 2019, he developed an NFT auction game on the EOS public blockchain for Chinese blockchain players. The game achieved:
(1) a decentralized governance model, allowing players to act as shareholders, boosting community engagement; (2) a balanced economic system that supported both buyers and sellers fairly;
(3) ranked in the top 3 in trading volume among EOS-based games during a specific period.
6.Adventurer
Together with his expedition team, he crossed the most mysterious area in China, the Lop Nur No Man's Land, and the world's largest no man's land, the Chang Tang.
For explorers daring enough to cross these two no man’s lands, it is a true test of endurance and spirit.
Crossing these two no man's land are not just a physical journey, but a transformation of the human spirit. It is a space where human limits are tested and redefined.